Curry Quotes

Bits of wisdom and denialist chum from Judith Curry

Curry on climate sensitivity

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Climate sensitivity is somewhere between 1.5 C and 4.5 C for a doubling of carbon dioxide, due to feedbacks (primarily water vapor) in the climate system.
– Zeke Hausfather

I think we can bound this between 1 and 6C at a likely level, I don’t think we can justify narrowing this further.
– Judith Curry

JC On what basis do you set these upper and lower bounds?
[…]
When some models give results way above your 6C upper found and several researchers publish sensitivities half your 1 C lower bound, what are we to make of your bounds?
– David L. Hagen

That there is a 33% probability that that actual sensitivity could be higher or lower than my bounds. To bound at a 90% level, I would say the bounds need to be 0-10C.
– Judith Curry

0-10C at 90%? I’d say that makes you more of an alarmist than anyone I’ve ever read. Hansen is Pollyanna in comparison. That looks like a 50% chance of the end of civilization.
– Jeffrey Davis

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Written by cquo

February 28, 2011 at 2:05 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

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