A retroactive context
This is “hide the decline” stuff. Our data show the pause, just as the other sets of data do. Muller is hiding the decline.
- Judith Curry
As far as I can tell, there is nothing in the BEST data that says there is no lag/slow down in the warming during the past decade or so.
- Judith Curry
Applying our analysis over the interval 1998 to 2010, we find the land temperature trend to be 2.84 ± 0.73 C / century, consistent with prior decades.
- Robert Rohde, Judith Curry, Donald Groom, Robert Jacobsen, Richard A. Muller, Saul Perlmutter, Arthur Rosenfeld, Charlotte Wickham, Jonathan Wurtele, “Berkeley Earth Temperature Averaging Process”
When asked specifically about the graph that apparently uses a 10 year running mean and ends in 2006, we discussed “hide the decline,” but I honestly can’t recall if Rose or I said it first. I agreed that the way the data is presented in the graph “hides the decline.”
- Judith Curry, posted on October 30, 2011
I have dug into my memory. Rose brought up hide the decline in our first interview, in the context of the plot that ends in 2006. He called me back specifically to discuss this and teased the “hide the decline” out of me. The hide the decline discussion was in this particular context.
- Judith Curry, updated on October 30, 2011
Joshua, this whole issue was particularly in the context of discussion of a graph that used a 10 yr running mean.
- Judith Curry, October 30, 2011 at 2:57pm
However, a week later…
The whole point of my remarks to David Rose of the Daily Mail is that the BEST data has very little to say about GLOBAL temperatures, since it is a land only data set that covers ~30% of the earth’s surface. That is the context for my statements to Rose.
- Judith Curry, November 7, 2011 at 9:09am